Instability &
Fragmentations: The haunting spectres of the Jambanja (violence) Political Economy
Tamuka C. Chirimambowa and
Tinashe L. Chimedza*
Treasury: Spending Like a
Drunken Sailor
In the recent Ministry of Finance
Quarterly report which focused on the last quarter of 2016 treasury revealed
the state of economic stagnation which shows evidence that the government is
not making any headway in reforming policy to put the economy on a growth
trajectory. The Quarterly Bulletin reports that economic growth was a mere 0.7
%; recurrent expenditure is taking 66% of the budget and a whopping 92% of the
revenue. The shocking revelation was that the government overspend by a mind
blowing 42.3%; rather than the budgeted US$1b they spent more by US$0.6b. No one is held accountable. The most
worrisome news in the Treasury Bulletin is the veiled confessions: ‘in the face of declining revenues,
the gap was largely financed through domestic borrowing, the bulk being
Treasury Bill issuances’ and further that ‘government domestic borrowing is
unsustainable as it crowds out private sector borrowing for productive
activities’.
In last week’s Gravitas we argued that the Government of Zimbabwe (GoZ) and
Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) are playing ‘casino’ with public funds and
slowly the truth is coming out that the emperor is naked.
Minister Chinamasa and Governor Mangudya may want to take wisdom from the former RBZ Governor, Dr Kombo Moyana’s contribution at a SAPES dialogue, who stated the following:
Minister Chinamasa and Governor Mangudya may want to take wisdom from the former RBZ Governor, Dr Kombo Moyana’s contribution at a SAPES dialogue, who stated the following:
In my time
working with Bernard Chidzero we made sure our wage bill was maintained at 20%
of government income. We would shiver if it reached 25% but now people go to
sleep when it is at 83%. No country or institution can survive when it is using
83% of its revenue for wages (Newsday, 14.05.2016)
To put it into perspective imagine a
civil servant earning $500.00 and every month that same person borrows, from
banks, an extra $200 to spent. The end result is that if the civil servant were
to keep on borrowing every month they end up bankrupt and the bank would
eventually refuse to lend more money and even send the sheriff knocking. On the
other hand Chinamasa thinks he can ‘grow money’ by issuing more Treasury Bills
but fails to realise how that is melting the whole financial system. The rate at which the government runs through
the Treasury like a bull in a Chinese shop is the reason why Zimbabwe needs a
robust public financial system with critical oversight from democratic
institutions. Imagine the rate of inflation if Zimbabwe had a local currency
and instead of Treasury Bills the machines at Fidelity would have been cranked
to full speed. No sense of budget restriction at all.
The question is why is the government
failing to reign in expenditure and set the economy on a new path? In our view,
we argue that with the advent of the jambanja
political economy which came via the Fast Track Land Reform Program (FTLRP), Zimbabwe is now gripped in an expropriation
mode which means government policy and elite behaviour is now geared towards re-distribution without any growth. This
re-distribution mode means that democratic state institutions are trampled with
no regard to accountability and the ruling elites have taken full advantage of
the instabilities and as a consequence
any serious investor, local or foreign, is nerved by this predation.
Dispossession,
Displacements and Elite Accumulation : From Chiadzwa to Manzou
In the past few days the Zimbabwe
Lawyers of Human Rights (ZLHR) obtained a High Court order barring the Ministry
of Lands and the Zimbabwe Republic Police
from displacing the Manzou villagers. At the heart of the matter is an allegation that the ‘First Family’ wants
to displace poor villagers, dispossess them of land and in the process
accumulate vast amounts of land for their business.
It is not only in Manzou that this
sense of instability is common; in Chiredzi Zimbabwean diaspora based investors
have been forced to seek protection from the courts after unilateral revocation
of their offer letters midway the farming season; in the urban areas clean up
operations destroying homes and livelihoods
have become a routine phenomenon; in Chiadzwa the debacle was worse with
hundreds displaced with insignificant compensation; so was the same in
Chisumbanje where thousands were dispossessed of their land and replaced with a
big corporate.This state of instability and
insecurity is directly linked to the Fast Track Land Reform Program (FTLRP)
which has led to a destruction of land related property rights. The consequence
was the breeding of insecure tenurial rights, and access to land and any other
resources became determined by patronage networks and the only sense of
protection seems to come from joining the ruling elite networks.
Black
Economic Empowerment and Indigenisation : The limits and parochialism.
The ruling elites have also extended
this expropriation mode to the entire economy under what they have called
‘indeginise and empower’ and the consequence there have been catastrophic
looting. Witness how the Minister of Indigenization went on a rampage charging
that all ‘foreign’ companies must comply with local legislation that 51% must
be owned by local people. At the heart of that harangue was not the desire to
empower people but to directly make sure that the political class becomes a
business class without producing any goods or services.
In Marange the much-vaunted Community Share
Ownership Scheme, turned out to be a farce of stage managed events meant for
electioneering campaigns. The whole indigenisation and black economic
empowerment ideology and policy is built with a very faulty logic: that
economic growth comes from parcelling a cake and not from baking more. It is a
very emotive but limited ideological propaganda feat.
1.3
Patrick Zhuwao: Who is being empowered ?
At the height of the indigenisation
mantra the citizen was told of an economy in which they would fully participate
and opportunities will be ‘aplenty’ and the ruling class youths threatened
fresh invasions against ‘non-complying companies’. It turned out that this was
an ideological cover for the elites to muscle into so called foreign companies;
in Masvingo a local political ‘warlord’ muscled into a mine.
The so called Sovereign Wealth Fund has not gone anywhere and while the legislation has been enacted stating that 25% of mineral royalties will flow into the Fund it seems like a mirage. Here is a government with an appetite to spent unchecked, swamped with debt, foreign and domestic, claiming that 25% will be set aside for the Fund. Such a promise, as they say, is only a comfort to a fool. The National Indigenisation & Economic Empowerment Board (NIIEB) has suddenly found that they have no job to carry out and the wild claims in 2012, by then then Minister of Indigenisation, that the Fund had a value of $3billion was just a number picked from the sky (Newsday, 24.12.2012).
The so called Sovereign Wealth Fund has not gone anywhere and while the legislation has been enacted stating that 25% of mineral royalties will flow into the Fund it seems like a mirage. Here is a government with an appetite to spent unchecked, swamped with debt, foreign and domestic, claiming that 25% will be set aside for the Fund. Such a promise, as they say, is only a comfort to a fool. The National Indigenisation & Economic Empowerment Board (NIIEB) has suddenly found that they have no job to carry out and the wild claims in 2012, by then then Minister of Indigenisation, that the Fund had a value of $3billion was just a number picked from the sky (Newsday, 24.12.2012).
But the chaos soon spread with the
minister saying banks must follow the indigenisation law and even the brother
Gideon Gono was alarmed and had to issue a rebuttal that the ‘finance sector’
was only regulated by the central bank and no one else. But the real capital
had already noticed what was happening and since then it has become problematic
if not impossible for local financial institutions to obtain real capital on
global capital markets. But the young people also learned well. Witness how the Old Mutual Kurera/Ukondla
Fund was just looted and emptied with no consequence whatsoever and in certain
cases mobs of youths turned up at your business to query whether the business
was compliant. This level of chaos, appropriation and outright entitlement was
borne out of the jambanja political
economy in which the might of force, coercion and state apparatuses are
used to muscle into businesses. The elites have learnt a dangerous lesson; that
they can always reap where they did not sow.
Moving
into the Future: Halting the Jambanja
Political Economy
Professor Sam Moyo and Paris Yeros
argued that Zimbabwe’s party-state could be characterised as a ‘radical state’
because they had effected a large-scale redistribution of land and managed to
smash white-settler and colonial based agrarian property relations. However,
Moyo and Yeros did not anticipate that once the ruling elites had been trained
in the art of expropriation it would be a mammoth task to make them unlearn
that mode of destructive accumulation. The effect of that political economy of expropriation is now a cancer which has to
be dealt with decisively because it has
placed unregulated public power in the hands of a predatory elite and the
economy is now locked in a ‘permanent crisis’ with no exit.
The ruling elites at the centre of this
racketing scheme mobilise a radical nationalist discourse to confuse citizens.
When these ephemeral manoeuvres are exposed they charge us of being ‘little
boys’ in universities, but they forget despite being of smaller stature, we are
citizens who need answers. The brother who accuses us has a stiff and very plump neck sinking in fat
gathered from dipping in sick people’s public health insurance premiums, at
PSMAS, whilst the public health system is in shambles. The big brother reminds us of the rotund
character Gitutu Wagataanguru in Ngugi Wa Thiongo’s book 'The Devil On The Cross'. The full Christian name, he boasted, was
‘Rottenbrough Groundflesh Shitland Narrow
Isthmus Joint Stock Brown’. Gitutu got very fat feeding on people's produce
and was unforgiving to those who mistook him for a small time thief and he
would fume in defense of his records in the art of thievery and robbery. For
those who dared to ask where his belly came from Gitutu bellowed that the belly
grew the moment he discovered that he could reap where he did not plant, eat
without shedding a sweat and drink what others had fetched.
The looting of public funds, even
from dying people, is arrogantly described as a ‘pittance’ and the citizen must
keep quiet because Sheiks in the Middle East get ‘millions’ in oil money. The brother Gitutu does not reveal that the
same Sheiks have Dubai to showcase for the oil money and here is an interesting
fact: in 1985 Air Zimbabwe, had more than 10 planes and Emirates had about
five; fast forward to 2016 and Emirates has nearly 300 planes, employs nearly
40,000 and Air (Si)Zimbabwe has only 7 planes (most of them are grounded) and a
$150m debt that must be added to the public debt. The question is: what do you
have to showcase for the looting nationalist elite besides the harangues and
decadent mansions? A ‘radical nationalism’ which has partially descended into
naked racism, an indigenisation project which feeds the elites; a black
empowerment policy which is anti-production and a party-state apparatus which
acts extra-judicially is at the heart of our economic meltdown.
Zimbabwe needs a serious re-think of
the mode of development that was ushered in by the ‘jambanja’ political
economy. While the world is grappling with the ‘fourth industrial revolution’
and what has been called the ‘internet of things’, Zimbabwe’s economy is stuck
in a semi-feudal structure. Mcdonald Lewanika’s observation, in a working paper
on the ‘future of work’ that Zimbabwe is
locked in a slippery non-industrial vortex of ‘subsistence farming and informal
economy’ is spot on[i].
The informal economy, the cross border activity,
the importation of cars from Japan and the night vending is indeed hard work by
the citizen but this must never be mistaken for being a substantially accumulating
economy. The economy needs to be rescued from a survival mode. In simple ways
we need to look in the mirror and admit that ‘we have seen the enemy, it is us’
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Tamuka C. Chirimambowa & Tinashe L.
Chimedza are the Co-Editors of Gravitas.
A well researched article...
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